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Short Term Stag-Deflation Expected


FORBES MAGAZINE article by Nouriel Roubini forecasts stag-deflation over the next five years.  The article provides the economic technical data for anyone who prefers statistical heuristics.

For readers who are concerned about midterm inflation resulting from all the money the Fed is pumping into the financial system, I would point out that historically economists have been completely unreliable in predicting inflation.  Roubini’s analysis does not take into account international monetary effects, like the value of the dollar.   I’m still concerned about the dollar’s value.  Over the next five years if the dollar decreases in value prices go up.  And for real estate owners with ARMs mortgage payments increase.

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